Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 15.882275 18.450053 21.240782 24.491388 28.165524 32.181387 36.894465
2025-07-27 11.865105 15.459134 19.753580 25.224350 31.965540 39.954950 50.090260
2025-08-03 9.275821 13.254247 18.378941 25.375898 34.578964 46.158400 61.699646
2025-08-10 7.328998 11.351861 16.880748 24.885360 35.999654 50.683004 71.302779
2025-08-17 5.884724 9.810477 15.530578 24.253811 36.951730 54.445698 79.974630
2025-08-24 4.769003 8.520455 14.292310 23.524168 37.548649 57.606975 87.887611
2025-08-31 3.832216 7.326279 12.992732 22.477418 37.476548 59.688430 94.283338
2025-09-07 3.380033 6.849191 12.733269 22.965807 39.696664 65.192006 105.924036
2025-09-14 2.986927 6.402222 12.448627 23.349978 41.739231 70.514362 117.574409
2025-09-21 2.541977 5.777254 11.764472 22.964840 42.464293 73.798501 126.251337
2025-09-28 2.142896 5.166527 11.015230 22.362321 42.735862 76.328486 133.835811
2025-10-05 2.060594 5.189931 11.442816 23.899274 46.766793 85.171864 151.972519
2025-10-12 1.911834 5.072341 11.634390 25.117953 50.517671 94.090978 171.278507
2025-10-19 1.713330 4.813341 11.524574 25.783361 53.394613 101.841985 189.334911
2025-10-26 1.495385 4.461894 11.170250 25.922855 55.307134 108.058256 205.194005
2025-11-02 1.261908 4.016775 10.541821 25.420518 55.938089 112.032765 217.406984
2025-11-09 1.056796 3.593639 9.890160 24.776717 56.209391 115.340903 228.603095
2025-11-16 0.879239 3.198922 9.235532 24.033327 56.189422 118.075429 238.888852
2025-11-23 0.714659 2.794556 8.484117 22.966861 55.385313 119.248142 246.356234
2025-11-30 0.646158 2.669566 8.416969 23.464456 57.894267 126.892007 266.176951
2025-12-07 0.581146 2.538420 8.311813 23.855851 60.199824 134.268146 285.868555
2025-12-14 0.495826 2.311630 7.907159 23.463469 60.743534 138.178870 299.156378
2025-12-21 0.416047 2.078206 7.439966 22.849587 60.723840 140.934280 310.334294